── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Holger Rune 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Holger Rune
Nuno Borges
68%32%
Hard: 72% / 28%
Clay: 69% / 31%
Grass: 61% / 39%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Holger Rune
76th · strong
Nuno Borges
59th · average
Return
Holger Rune
86th · strong
Nuno Borges
44th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#20
model rank
#55
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
DEN
country
POR
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Holger Rune■ Nuno Borges
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–1
Hard2–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-07 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R64 | Nuno Borges | 6-2 3-0 RET |
| 2024-08-12 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R32 | Holger Rune | 6-3 7-6(8) |
| 2023-02-27 | Acapulco | Hard | R16 | Holger Rune | 6-0 6-2 |