── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Holger Rune 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Holger Rune
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
65%35%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 73% / 27%
Grass: 79% / 21%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Holger Rune
76th · strong
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
79th · strong
Return
Holger Rune
86th · strong
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
46th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#20
model rank
#48
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
DEN
country
ARG
188cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Holger Rune■ Tomas Martin Etcheverry
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
Clay1–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-13 | Stockholm | Hard | QF | Holger Rune | 6-7(4) 6-3 6-4 |
| 2023-10-23 | Basel | Hard | QF | Holger Rune | 6-1 3-6 7-6(6) |
| 2021-05-31 | Biella 7 CH | Clay | SF | Holger Rune | 7-5 2-6 6-2 |
| 2020-08-31 | M15 Caslano | Clay | R16 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 6-3 6-0 |