── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Holger Rune 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Holger Rune
Corentin Moutet
68%32%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 81% / 19%
Grass: 46% / 54%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Holger Rune
76th · strong
Corentin Moutet
29th · below avg
Return
Holger Rune
86th · strong
Corentin Moutet
93th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#20
model rank
#57
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
DEN
country
FRA
188cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Holger Rune■ Corentin Moutet
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–1
Hard1–2
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-07 | Rome Masters | Clay | R32 | Corentin Moutet | 7-5 5-7 7-6(4) |
| 2025-03-05 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R64 | Holger Rune | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2022-01-10 | Adelaide 2 | Hard | Q1 | Corentin Moutet | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2022-01-03 | Adelaide 1 | Hard | R32 | Corentin Moutet | 7-6(6) 6-4 |