── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Francisco Cerundolo 80% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Holger Rune
Francisco Cerundolo
20%80%
Hard: 22% / 78%
Clay: 56% / 44%
Grass: 60% / 40%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Holger Rune
79th · strong
Francisco Cerundolo
61th · average
Return
Holger Rune
76th · strong
Francisco Cerundolo
96th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#127
model rank
#24
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
DEN
country
ARG
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Holger Rune■ Francisco Cerundolo
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard0–1
Clay1–1
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-09-19Laver CupHardRRFrancisco Cerundolo6-3 7-6(5)
2023-05-29Roland GarrosClayR16Holger Rune7-6(3) 3-6 6-4 1-6 7-6(7)
2019-08-05Manerbio CHClayR64Francisco Cerundolo7-6(4) 6-0