── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Holger Rune 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Holger Rune
Emilio Nava
75%25%
Hard: 82% / 18%
Clay: 76% / 24%
Grass: 73% / 27%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Holger Rune
76th · strong
Emilio Nava
54th · average
Return
Holger Rune
86th · strong
Emilio Nava
12th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#20
model rank
#92
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
DEN
country
USA
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Holger Rune■ Emilio Nava
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | R64 | Holger Rune | 6-3 7-6(5) 6-3 |
| 2021-02-01 | M25 Villena | Hard | SF | Holger Rune | 6-7(9) 6-1 6-4 |