── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Holger Rune a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Holger Rune
Francisco Comesana
52%48%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 84% / 16%
Grass: 76% / 24%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Holger Rune
79th · strong
Francisco Comesana
42th · average
Return
Holger Rune
77th · strong
Francisco Comesana
38th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#127
model rank
#139
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
DEN
country
ARG
188cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Holger Rune■ Francisco Comesana
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-07 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Holger Rune | 3-6 6-3 6-4 |