── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Holger Rune 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Holger Rune
Francisco Comesana
78%22%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 83% / 17%
Grass: 73% / 27%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Holger Rune
76th · strong
Francisco Comesana
46th · average
Return
Holger Rune
86th · strong
Francisco Comesana
39th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#20
model rank
#108
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
DEN
country
ARG
188cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Holger RuneFrancisco Comesana
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-05-07Rome MastersClayR64Holger Rune3-6 6-3 6-4