── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Flavio Cobolli 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Holger Rune
Flavio Cobolli
27%73%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 59% / 41%
Grass: 44% / 56%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Holger Rune
79th · strong
Flavio Cobolli
41th · average
Return
Holger Rune
76th · strong
Flavio Cobolli
63th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#127
model rank
#36
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
DEN
country
ITA
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Holger Rune■ Flavio Cobolli
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-23 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R64 | Flavio Cobolli | 6-2 0-0 RET |
| 2024-05-27 | Roland Garros | Clay | R64 | Holger Rune | 6-4 6-3 3-6 3-6 7-6(7) |