── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Holger Rune a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Holger Rune
Flavio Cobolli
53%47%
Hard: 74% / 26%
Clay: 55% / 45%
Grass: 46% / 54%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Holger Rune
76th · strong
Flavio Cobolli
48th · average
Return
Holger Rune
86th · strong
Flavio Cobolli
60th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#20
model rank
#25
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
DEN
country
ITA
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Holger Rune■ Flavio Cobolli
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-23 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R64 | Flavio Cobolli | 6-2 0-0 RET |
| 2024-05-27 | Roland Garros | Clay | R64 | Holger Rune | 6-4 6-3 3-6 3-6 7-6(7) |