── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Holger Rune 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Holger Rune
Mariano Navone
58%42%
Hard: 84% / 16%
Clay: 58% / 42%
Grass: 86% / 14%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Holger Rune
76th · strong
Mariano Navone
28th · below avg
Return
Holger Rune
86th · strong
Mariano Navone
97th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#20
model rank
#32
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
DEN
country
ARG
188cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Holger Rune■ Mariano Navone
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-10 | Buenos Aires | Clay | R16 | Mariano Navone | 6-1 7-6(2) |
| 2024-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R64 | Holger Rune | 5-7 7-6(2) 6-4 |