── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Holger Rune a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Holger Rune
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
51%49%
Hard: 58% / 42%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 57% / 43%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Holger Rune
79th · strong
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
89th · strong
Return
Holger Rune
76th · strong
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
1th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#127
model rank
#134
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
DEN
country
FRA
188cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Holger Rune■ Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R16 | Holger Rune | 6-4 6-7(7) 6-3 |
| 2025-07-27 | Canada Masters | Hard | R64 | Holger Rune | 7-6(7) 6-3 |
| 2024-10-21 | Basel | Hard | SF | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 7-6(6) 6-4 |