── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Holger Rune 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Holger Rune
Hamad Medjedovic
62%38%
Hard: 75% / 25%
Clay: 63% / 37%
Grass: 69% / 31%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Holger Rune
76th · strong
Hamad Medjedovic
73th · strong
Return
Holger Rune
86th · strong
Hamad Medjedovic
55th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#20
model rank
#43
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
DEN
country
SRB
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Holger RuneHamad Medjedovic
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-09-24TokyoHardR32Holger Rune7-6(7) 6-1
2025-01-31Davis Cup QLS R1: SRB vs DENHardRRHamad Medjedovic2-6 6-3 6-1