── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Holger Rune 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Holger Rune
Ethan Quinn
73%27%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 89% / 11%
Grass: 68% / 32%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Holger Rune
76th · strong
Ethan Quinn
52th · average
Return
Holger Rune
86th · strong
Ethan Quinn
19th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#20
model rank
#81
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
DEN
country
USA
188cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Holger RuneEthan Quinn
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-09-24TokyoHardR16Holger Rune6-4 6-2