── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex Michelsen 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Holger Rune
Alex Michelsen
21%79%
Hard: 18% / 82%
Clay: 86% / 14%
Grass: 52% / 48%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Holger Rune
79th · strong
Alex Michelsen
72th · strong
Return
Holger Rune
77th · strong
Alex Michelsen
88th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#127
model rank
#24
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
DEN
country
USA
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Holger Rune■ Alex Michelsen
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R32 | Holger Rune | 7-6(4) 6-3 |