── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jiri Lehecka 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jiri Lehecka
Denis Shapovalov
69%31%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 72% / 28%
Grass: 77% / 23%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jiri Lehecka
91th · elite
Denis Shapovalov
51th · average
Return
Jiri Lehecka
63th · average
Denis Shapovalov
82th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#22
model rank
#66
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
CZE
country
CAN
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jiri LeheckaDenis Shapovalov
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard21
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersHardR32Jiri Lehecka6-4 6-4
2024-11-04BelgradeHardSFDenis Shapovalov6-2 6-1
2022-02-07RotterdamHardR32Jiri Lehecka6-4 6-4