── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Carlos Alcaraz 80% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jiri Lehecka
Carlos Alcaraz
20%80%
Hard: 21% / 79%
Clay: 10% / 90%
Grass: 14% / 86%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jiri Lehecka
94th · elite
Carlos Alcaraz
97th · elite
Return
Jiri Lehecka
75th · strong
Carlos Alcaraz
100th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#13
model rank
#2
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CZE
country
ESP
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jiri Lehecka■ Carlos Alcaraz
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
Grass0–2
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Tokyo | Hard | F | Carlos Alcaraz | 7-6(4) 6-4 |
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | QF | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-4 6-2 6-4 |
| 2025-06-16 | Queen's Club | Grass | F | Carlos Alcaraz | 7-5 6-7(5) 6-2 |
| 2025-02-17 | Doha | Hard | QF | Jiri Lehecka | 6-3 3-6 6-4 |
| 2023-06-19 | Queen's Club | Grass | R16 | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-2 6-3 |