── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Eliot Spizzirri 80% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Eliot Spizzirri
Alex Bolt
80%20%
Hard: 84% / 16%
Clay: 70% / 30%
Grass: 34% / 66%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Eliot Spizzirri
75th · strong
Alex Bolt
28th · below avg
Return
Eliot Spizzirri
88th · strong
Alex Bolt
2th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#47
model rank
#172
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
USA
country
AUS
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Eliot Spizzirri■ Alex Bolt
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Grass0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-22 | Jingshan CH | Hard | F | Eliot Spizzirri | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2025-06-30 | Wimbledon | Grass | Q2 | Alex Bolt | 7-6(5) 2-6 6-2 |