── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Joao Fonseca 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Eliot Spizzirri
Joao Fonseca
29%71%
Hard: 35% / 65%
Clay: 6% / 94%
Grass: 31% / 69%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Eliot Spizzirri
73th · strong
Joao Fonseca
91th · elite
Return
Eliot Spizzirri
89th · strong
Joao Fonseca
87th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#46
model rank
#10
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
BRA
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Eliot Spizzirri■ Joao Fonseca
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Eliot Spizzirri | 6-4 2-6 6-1 6-2 |
| 2024-08-26 | Us Open | Hard | Q3 | Eliot Spizzirri | 7-6(8) 6-7(5) 6-4 |