── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Joao Fonseca 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Eliot Spizzirri
Joao Fonseca
34%66%
Hard: 34% / 66%
Clay: 6% / 94%
Grass: 36% / 64%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Eliot Spizzirri
75th · strong
Joao Fonseca
82th · strong
Return
Eliot Spizzirri
88th · strong
Joao Fonseca
87th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#47
model rank
#15
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
BRA
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Eliot Spizzirri■ Joao Fonseca
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Eliot Spizzirri | 6-4 2-6 6-1 6-2 |
| 2024-08-26 | Us Open | Hard | Q3 | Eliot Spizzirri | 7-6(8) 6-7(5) 6-4 |