── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Marco Trungelliti 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Luca Nardi
Marco Trungelliti
35%65%
Hard: 67% / 33%
Clay: 26% / 74%
Grass: 49% / 51%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Luca Nardi
9th · poor
Marco Trungelliti
18th · poor
Return
Luca Nardi
33th · below avg
Marco Trungelliti
31th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#175
model rank
#118
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ARG
185cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Luca Nardi■ Marco Trungelliti
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-23 | Dubai | Hard | Q1 | Luca Nardi | 2-6 6-2 7-6(3) |