── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Nikoloz Basilashvili 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Luca Nardi
Nikoloz Basilashvili
38%62%
Hard: 46% / 54%
Clay: 40% / 60%
Grass: 20% / 80%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Luca Nardi
9th · poor
Nikoloz Basilashvili
33th · below avg
Return
Luca Nardi
33th · below avg
Nikoloz Basilashvili
23th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#175
model rank
#135
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
GEO
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Luca Nardi■ Nikoloz Basilashvili
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-02MontpellierHardR32Luca Nardi6-3 6-3