── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Nikoloz Basilashvili 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Luca Nardi
Nikoloz Basilashvili
40%60%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 33% / 67%
Grass: 14% / 86%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Luca Nardi
16th · poor
Nikoloz Basilashvili
33th · below avg
Return
Luca Nardi
45th · average
Nikoloz Basilashvili
25th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#144
model rank
#105
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
GEO
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Luca NardiNikoloz Basilashvili
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-02MontpellierHardR32Luca Nardi6-3 6-3