── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Luca Nardi a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Luca Nardi
Zhizhen Zhang
54%46%
Hard: 58% / 42%
Clay: 33% / 67%
Grass: 21% / 79%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Luca Nardi
16th · poor
Zhizhen Zhang
49th · average
Return
Luca Nardi
45th · average
Zhizhen Zhang
15th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#144
model rank
#153
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
CHN
185cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Luca Nardi■ Zhizhen Zhang
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-17 | Doha | Hard | R32 | Luca Nardi | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2024-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R64 | Luca Nardi | 6-3 3-6 6-3 |