── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Luca Nardi 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Luca Nardi
Elias Ymer
60%40%
Hard: 65% / 35%
Clay: 62% / 38%
Grass: 18% / 82%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Luca Nardi
16th · poor
Elias Ymer
4th · poor
Return
Luca Nardi
45th · average
Elias Ymer
14th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#144
model rank
#168
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
SWE
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Luca Nardi■ Elias Ymer
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-09 | Perugia CH | Clay | R16 | Luca Nardi | 6-2 6-4 |