── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Ofner 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Luca Nardi
Sebastian Ofner
41%59%
Hard: 52% / 48%
Clay: 32% / 68%
Grass: 15% / 85%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Luca Nardi
16th · poor
Sebastian Ofner
65th · average
Return
Luca Nardi
45th · average
Sebastian Ofner
17th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#144
model rank
#110
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
AUT
185cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Luca Nardi■ Sebastian Ofner
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R128 | Luca Nardi | 3-6 6-3 6-2 |
| 2023-09-18 | Saint-Tropez CH | Hard | R32 | Sebastian Ofner | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2023-01-16 | Tenerife 1 CH | Hard | R32 | Sebastian Ofner | 7-6(9) 6-7(1) 6-4 |