── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Luca Nardi 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Luca Nardi
Hugo Grenier
59%41%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 78% / 22%
Grass: 33% / 67%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Luca Nardi
16th · poor
Hugo Grenier
7th · poor
Return
Luca Nardi
45th · average
Hugo Grenier
26th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#144
model rank
#165
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
FRA
185cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Luca Nardi■ Hugo Grenier
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard2–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Chisinau CH | Clay | R32 | Luca Nardi | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2023-09-25 | Orleans CH | Hard | R32 | Luca Nardi | 7-6(5) 6-3 |
| 2022-03-28 | Lugano CH | Hard | R32 | Luca Nardi | 6-3 6-4 |