── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Thiago Agustin Tirante 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Luca Nardi
Thiago Agustin Tirante
28%72%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 21% / 79%
Grass: 35% / 65%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Luca Nardi
16th · poor
Thiago Agustin Tirante
74th · strong
Return
Luca Nardi
45th · average
Thiago Agustin Tirante
23th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#144
model rank
#53
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ARG
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Luca NardiThiago Agustin Tirante
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersHardR128Luca Nardi6-4 7-6(5)
2023-08-28Us OpenHardQ1Thiago Agustin Tirante6-4 6-4