── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Otto Virtanen 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Luca Nardi
Otto Virtanen
34%66%
Hard: 45% / 55%
Clay: 52% / 48%
Grass: 9% / 91%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Luca Nardi
9th · poor
Otto Virtanen
52th · average
Return
Luca Nardi
33th · below avg
Otto Virtanen
24th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#175
model rank
#116
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
FIN
185cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Luca Nardi■ Otto Virtanen
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass0–1
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-29 | Wimbledon | Grass | Q2 | Otto Virtanen | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2026-01-27 | Manama CH | Hard | SF | Luca Nardi | 7-6(6) 6-2 |