── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Otto Virtanen 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Luca Nardi
Otto Virtanen
35%65%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 62% / 38%
Grass: 7% / 93%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Luca Nardi
16th · poor
Otto Virtanen
53th · average
Return
Luca Nardi
45th · average
Otto Virtanen
41th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#144
model rank
#88
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
FIN
185cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Luca Nardi■ Otto Virtanen
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | Manama CH | Hard | SF | Luca Nardi | 7-6(6) 6-2 |