── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tomas Machac 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Luca Nardi
Tomas Machac
24%76%
Hard: 33% / 67%
Clay: 22% / 78%
Grass: 20% / 80%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Luca Nardi
9th · poor
Tomas Machac
57th · average
Return
Luca Nardi
33th · below avg
Tomas Machac
57th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#175
model rank
#67
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
CZE
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Luca Nardi■ Tomas Machac
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–3
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Tomas Machac | 6-3 6-1 6-1 |
| 2023-10-02 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif CH | Hard | QF | Tomas Machac | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2022-10-31 | Bergamo CH | Hard | R32 | Luca Nardi | 7-5 7-6(3) |
| 2020-11-16 | Ortisei CH | Hard | R32 | Tomas Machac | 7-6(4) 7-6(8) |