── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Flavio Cobolli 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Luca Nardi
Flavio Cobolli
18%82%
Hard: 37% / 63%
Clay: 12% / 88%
Grass: 11% / 89%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Luca Nardi
9th · poor
Flavio Cobolli
41th · average
Return
Luca Nardi
33th · below avg
Flavio Cobolli
63th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#175
model rank
#36
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ITA
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Luca Nardi■ Flavio Cobolli
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–0
Clay1–1
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | Montpellier | Hard | R16 | Luca Nardi | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2025-05-07 | Rome Masters | Clay | R128 | Luca Nardi | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-01-06 | Auckland | Hard | R32 | Luca Nardi | 6-2 1-1 RET |
| 2023-11-27 | NextGen Finals | Hard | RR | Luca Nardi | 3-4(4) 4-2 4-3(1) 1-4 4-3(3) |
| 2023-07-24 | Umag | Clay | Q1 | Flavio Cobolli | 6-1 7-5 |