── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Pablo Llamas Ruiz 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Luca Nardi
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
35%65%
Hard: 52% / 48%
Clay: 25% / 75%
Grass: 38% / 62%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Luca Nardi
9th · poor
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
31th · below avg
Return
Luca Nardi
33th · below avg
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
52th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#175
model rank
#120
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ESP
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Luca Nardi■ Pablo Llamas Ruiz
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard0–1
Clay1–1
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-10-05Ferrero Challenger CHHardR32Pablo Llamas Ruiz6-1 7-6(5)
2023-05-29Vicenza CHClayQFPablo Llamas Ruiz6-3 6-4
2021-09-13M25 MadridClayQFLuca Nardi6-2 5-7 7-5