── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Valentin Royer 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Luca Nardi
Valentin Royer
43%57%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 34% / 66%
Grass: 14% / 86%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Luca Nardi
16th · poor
Valentin Royer
43th · average
Return
Luca Nardi
45th · average
Valentin Royer
18th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#144
model rank
#118
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
FRA
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Luca Nardi■ Valentin Royer
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Monza CH | Clay | R32 | Valentin Royer | 7-6(4) 7-5 |
| 2021-07-19 | M15 Perugia | Clay | R16 | Luca Nardi | 6-4 6-4 |