── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Mariano Navone 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Luca Nardi
Mariano Navone
21%79%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 13% / 87%
Grass: 44% / 56%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Luca Nardi
16th · poor
Mariano Navone
28th · below avg
Return
Luca Nardi
45th · average
Mariano Navone
97th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#144
model rank
#32
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ARG
185cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Luca NardiMariano Navone
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-05-13Turin CHClayR32Luca Nardi6-1 5-7 7-6(2)