── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Titouan Droguet 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Titouan Droguet
Alexei Popyrin
64%36%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 51% / 49%
Grass: 51% / 49%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Titouan Droguet
50th · average
Alexei Popyrin
73th · strong
Return
Titouan Droguet
56th · average
Alexei Popyrin
25th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#41
model rank
#90
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
AUS
191cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Titouan Droguet■ Alexei Popyrin
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-08-13Cincinnati MastersHardQ1Titouan Droguet7-6(2) 6-1