── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Sebastian Baez a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Titouan Droguet
Sebastian Baez
48%52%
Hard: 46% / 54%
Clay: 52% / 48%
Grass: 63% / 37%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Titouan Droguet
71th · strong
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Return
Titouan Droguet
26th · below avg
Sebastian Baez
85th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#85
model rank
#77
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
ARG
191cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Titouan DroguetSebastian Baez
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-30BucharestClayR16Titouan Droguet6-4 6-4