── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Mattia Bellucci a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Mattia Bellucci
Damir Dzumhur
53%47%
Hard: 64% / 36%
Clay: 38% / 62%
Grass: 74% / 26%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Mattia Bellucci
34th · below avg
Damir Dzumhur
5th · poor
Return
Mattia Bellucci
24th · below avg
Damir Dzumhur
69th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#123
model rank
#134
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
ITA
country
BIH
175cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Mattia BellucciDamir Dzumhur
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay12
Hard01
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-22Madrid MastersClayR128Damir Dzumhur6-2 6-4
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersHardR128Damir Dzumhur7-6(7) 7-6(5)
2025-04-23Madrid MastersClayR128Damir Dzumhur4-6 6-4 6-2
2022-08-01Cordenons CHClayR16Mattia Bellucci6-2 6-1