── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mattia Bellucci 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Mattia Bellucci
Bernard Tomic
76%24%
Hard: 75% / 25%
Clay: 71% / 29%
Grass: 70% / 30%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Mattia Bellucci
54th · average
Bernard Tomic
11th · poor
Return
Mattia Bellucci
52th · average
Bernard Tomic
4th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#66
model rank
#173
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
ITA
country
AUS
175cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Mattia Bellucci■ Bernard Tomic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Jingshan Open CH | Hard | QF | Mattia Bellucci | W/O |