── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mattia Bellucci 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Mattia Bellucci
Alex Bolt
76%24%
Hard: 76% / 24%
Clay: 83% / 17%
Grass: 64% / 36%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Mattia Bellucci
54th · average
Alex Bolt
28th · below avg
Return
Mattia Bellucci
52th · average
Alex Bolt
2th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#66
model rank
#172
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Left
ITA
country
AUS
175cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Mattia Bellucci■ Alex Bolt
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–1
Hard1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | Halle | Grass | Q2 | Mattia Bellucci | 6-7(5) 7-5 6-3 |
| 2026-06-01 | Birmingham CH | Grass | R32 | Alex Bolt | 6-3 6-0 |
| 2024-11-11 | Kobe CH | Hard | R16 | Mattia Bellucci | 6-0 6-4 |