── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mattia Bellucci 81% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Mattia Bellucci
Elias Ymer
81%19%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 61% / 39%
Grass: 76% / 24%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Mattia Bellucci
54th · average
Elias Ymer
5th · poor
Return
Mattia Bellucci
52th · average
Elias Ymer
7th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#66
model rank
#182
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
ITA
country
SWE
175cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Mattia Bellucci■ Elias Ymer
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | Q1 | Mattia Bellucci | 4-6 7-5 7-6(3) |
| 2024-08-12 | Cary CH | Hard | Q1 | Mattia Bellucci | 7-5 7-5 |
| 2023-10-02 | Alicante CH | Hard | R16 | Elias Ymer | 3-6 7-6(5) 6-3 |