── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mattia Bellucci a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Mattia Bellucci
Nicolas Jarry
51%49%
Hard: 70% / 30%
Clay: 27% / 73%
Grass: 44% / 56%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Mattia Bellucci
34th · below avg
Nicolas Jarry
81th · strong
Return
Mattia Bellucci
24th · below avg
Nicolas Jarry
12th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#123
model rank
#126
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
ITA
country
CHI
175cm
height
201cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Mattia Bellucci■ Nicolas Jarry
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | Q1 | Mattia Bellucci | 6-3 6-1 |