── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Bublik 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Mattia Bellucci
Alexander Bublik
35%65%
Hard: 37% / 63%
Clay: 17% / 83%
Grass: 38% / 62%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Mattia Bellucci
54th · average
Alexander Bublik
89th · strong
Return
Mattia Bellucci
52th · average
Alexander Bublik
47th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#66
model rank
#30
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
ITA
country
KAZ
175cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Mattia Bellucci■ Alexander Bublik
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-16 | Halle | Grass | R32 | Mattia Bellucci | 7-6(6) 6-1 |