── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mattia Bellucci 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Mattia Bellucci
Alexandre Muller
69%31%
Hard: 67% / 33%
Clay: 36% / 64%
Grass: 87% / 13%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Mattia Bellucci
54th · average
Alexandre Muller
23th · below avg
Return
Mattia Bellucci
52th · average
Alexandre Muller
19th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#66
model rank
#147
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
ITA
country
FRA
175cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Mattia Bellucci■ Alexandre Muller
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | Q2 | Mattia Bellucci | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2026-09-29 | Jingshan Open CH | Hard | R32 | Mattia Bellucci | 6-0 6-3 |
| 2024-09-25 | Tokyo | Hard | Q1 | Mattia Bellucci | 4-6 6-2 7-6(3) |