── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Hubert Hurkacz 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Mattia Bellucci
Hubert Hurkacz
35%65%
Hard: 54% / 46%
Clay: 14% / 86%
Grass: 26% / 74%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Mattia Bellucci
34th · below avg
Hubert Hurkacz
94th · elite
Return
Mattia Bellucci
24th · below avg
Hubert Hurkacz
48th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#123
model rank
#60
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
ITA
country
POL
175cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Mattia BellucciHubert Hurkacz
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-10Cap Cana CHHardR16Mattia Bellucci6-2 6-4