── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Sonego 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Mattia Bellucci
Lorenzo Sonego
41%59%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 44% / 56%
Grass: 40% / 60%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Mattia Bellucci
34th · below avg
Lorenzo Sonego
69th · average
Return
Mattia Bellucci
24th · below avg
Lorenzo Sonego
40th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#123
model rank
#87
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
ITA
country
ITA
175cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Mattia Bellucci■ Lorenzo Sonego
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-28 | Cagliari CH | Clay | R32 | Mattia Bellucci | 6-4 1-6 7-5 |