── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Mattia Bellucci a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Mattia Bellucci
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
52%48%
Hard: 52% / 48%
Clay: 21% / 79%
Grass: 87% / 13%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Mattia Bellucci
54th · average
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
80th · strong
Return
Mattia Bellucci
52th · average
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
34th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#66
model rank
#72
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
ITA
country
ARG
175cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Mattia Bellucci■ Tomas Martin Etcheverry
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-06Rome MastersClayR64Mattia Bellucci5-7 6-2 6-3