── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Mattia Bellucci
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
25%75%
Hard: 32% / 68%
Clay: 19% / 81%
Grass: 51% / 49%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Mattia Bellucci
34th · below avg
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
58th · average
Return
Mattia Bellucci
24th · below avg
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
90th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#123
model rank
#33
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
ITA
country
ESP
175cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Mattia Bellucci■ Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-23 | Acapulco | Hard | R16 | Mattia Bellucci | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2025-02-24 | Acapulco | Hard | R32 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 1-6 7-6(6) 6-2 |