── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mattia Bellucci 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Mattia Bellucci
Adam Walton
63%37%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 72% / 28%
Grass: 65% / 35%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Mattia Bellucci
54th · average
Adam Walton
44th · average
Return
Mattia Bellucci
52th · average
Adam Walton
52th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#66
model rank
#118
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
ITA
country
AUS
175cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Mattia Bellucci■ Adam Walton
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard4–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Jingshan Open CH | Hard | R16 | Mattia Bellucci | 7-5 6-2 |
| 2026-03-10 | Cap Cana CH | Hard | SF | Mattia Bellucci | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R128 | Mattia Bellucci | 7-6(6) 6-1 |
| 2024-07-22 | Atlanta | Hard | Q2 | Mattia Bellucci | 7-6(4) 3-6 6-1 |