── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mattia Bellucci a slight 50% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Mattia Bellucci
Alexander Shevchenko
50%50%
Hard: 58% / 42%
Clay: 40% / 60%
Grass: 88% / 12%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Mattia Bellucci
34th · below avg
Alexander Shevchenko
20th · below avg
Return
Mattia Bellucci
24th · below avg
Alexander Shevchenko
28th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#123
model rank
#124
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
ITA
country
KAZ
175cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Mattia Bellucci■ Alexander Shevchenko
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-12 | Sumter CH | Hard | F | Mattia Bellucci | 7-6(5) 3-1 RET |