── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tomas Machac 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Mattia Bellucci
Tomas Machac
25%75%
Hard: 34% / 66%
Clay: 23% / 77%
Grass: 58% / 42%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Mattia Bellucci
34th · below avg
Tomas Machac
72th · strong
Return
Mattia Bellucci
24th · below avg
Tomas Machac
82th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#123
model rank
#35
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
ITA
country
CZE
175cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Mattia Bellucci■ Tomas Machac
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R64 | Tomas Machac | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2023-09-04 | Cassis CH | Hard | F | Mattia Bellucci | 6-3 6-4 |