── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Mattia Bellucci 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Mattia Bellucci
Roman Andres Burruchaga
60%40%
Hard: 84% / 16%
Clay: 20% / 80%
Grass: 84% / 16%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Mattia Bellucci
54th · average
Roman Andres Burruchaga
13th · poor
Return
Mattia Bellucci
52th · average
Roman Andres Burruchaga
82th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#66
model rank
#103
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
ITA
country
ARG
175cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Mattia Bellucci■ Roman Andres Burruchaga
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-06Rome MastersClayR128Mattia Bellucci6-4 6-4