── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Roman Andres Burruchaga 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Mattia Bellucci
Roman Andres Burruchaga
39%61%
Hard: 76% / 24%
Clay: 23% / 77%
Grass: 73% / 27%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Mattia Bellucci
34th · below avg
Roman Andres Burruchaga
25th · below avg
Return
Mattia Bellucci
24th · below avg
Roman Andres Burruchaga
91th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#123
model rank
#76
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
ITA
country
ARG
175cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Mattia BellucciRoman Andres Burruchaga
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-06Rome MastersClayR128Mattia Bellucci6-4 6-4