── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mattia Bellucci 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Mattia Bellucci
Gabriel Diallo
57%43%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 39% / 61%
Grass: 57% / 43%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Mattia Bellucci
54th · average
Gabriel Diallo
66th · average
Return
Mattia Bellucci
52th · average
Gabriel Diallo
35th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#66
model rank
#94
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
ITA
country
CAN
175cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Mattia Bellucci■ Gabriel Diallo
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–2
Grass1–0
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R128 | Gabriel Diallo | 7-6(5) 6-4 |
| 2025-02-24 | Acapulco | Hard | Q2 | Gabriel Diallo | 6-1 6-0 |
| 2024-08-12 | Cary CH | Hard | SF | Mattia Bellucci | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2024-06-10 | Nottingham CH | Grass | R32 | Mattia Bellucci | 6-4 4-6 7-5 |
| 2023-08-14 | Winnipeg CH | Hard | R16 | Mattia Bellucci | 6-2 6-3 |