── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Luciano Darderi 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Mattia Bellucci
Luciano Darderi
43%57%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 10% / 90%
Grass: 80% / 20%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Mattia Bellucci
54th · average
Luciano Darderi
58th · average
Return
Mattia Bellucci
52th · average
Luciano Darderi
65th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#66
model rank
#43
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
ITA
country
ITA
175cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Mattia Bellucci■ Luciano Darderi
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Clay0–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Winston-Salem | Hard | R32 | Luciano Darderi | 2-6 6-4 6-2 |
| 2026-03-30 | Marrakech | Clay | R16 | Luciano Darderi | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2023-01-16 | Australian Open | Hard | Q3 | Mattia Bellucci | 6-4 6-1 |