── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Luciano Darderi 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Mattia Bellucci
Luciano Darderi
26%74%
Hard: 72% / 28%
Clay: 10% / 90%
Grass: 72% / 28%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Mattia Bellucci
34th · below avg
Luciano Darderi
62th · average
Return
Mattia Bellucci
24th · below avg
Luciano Darderi
74th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#123
model rank
#37
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
ITA
country
ITA
175cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Mattia Bellucci■ Luciano Darderi
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–1
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-30 | Marrakech | Clay | R16 | Luciano Darderi | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2023-01-16 | Australian Open | Hard | Q3 | Mattia Bellucci | 6-4 6-1 |