── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Raphael Collignon 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Mattia Bellucci
Raphael Collignon
21%79%
Hard: 36% / 64%
Clay: 16% / 84%
Grass: 77% / 23%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Mattia Bellucci
34th · below avg
Raphael Collignon
78th · strong
Return
Mattia Bellucci
24th · below avg
Raphael Collignon
83th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#123
model rank
#23
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
ITA
country
BEL
175cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Mattia BellucciRaphael Collignon
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
Grass10
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-10Cap Cana CHHardQFMattia Bellucci6-4 6-2
2023-07-03WimbledonGrassQ2Mattia Bellucci6-4 6-4