── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Juncheng Shang 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Mattia Bellucci
Juncheng Shang
42%58%
Hard: 54% / 46%
Clay: 45% / 55%
Grass: 41% / 59%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Mattia Bellucci
34th · below avg
Juncheng Shang
63th · average
Return
Mattia Bellucci
24th · below avg
Juncheng Shang
42th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#123
model rank
#96
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Left
ITA
country
CHN
175cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Mattia Bellucci■ Juncheng Shang
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Mattia Bellucci | 7-6(0) 1-6 6-3 3-0 RET |